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The US dollar jumped to its highest level in nearly two years and the Russian rouble hit a record low after Russia launched an invasion of Ukraine. Investors fled risk assets for safe havens.
The dollar index rose about 0.9% on the day.
Feed buyers face a stronger dollar that makes US exports pricier for importers, while a geopolitical shock adds volatility to grain and energy markets. The dollar's safe-haven rally is a bearish pressure on dollar-denominated commodities.
reuters.comChuck MikolajczakFeb 24, 2022After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine on 2022-02-24 triggered safe-haven flows into the dollar, which rose to a near two-year high (dollar index up about 0.9%), directly matching the move.
