
The Canadian dollar fell to its weakest level since December against the U.S. dollar as Russia invaded Ukraine and investors sought safe-haven assets. Oil traded above $100 a barrel for the first time since 2014 before settling 0.8% higher at $92.81.
Canada also announced new sanctions against Russia targeting 62 individuals and entities.
Safe-haven dollar demand and sanctions-driven energy volatility are pushing the loonie lower while oil spikes, raising the cost of dollar-denominated feed imports for Canadian buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.