
Oil gained more than 5% for the week, with Brent closing at $75.17 and WTI at $71.24, as the Ukraine war intensified after the UK and US allowed Kyiv to strike Russia with their weapons. Chinese crude imports were also expected to rebound in November.
Escalating war risk to Russian supply and a rebound in Chinese crude demand support energy prices, which lift biofuel feedstock values and input costs.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.