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Oil prices surged on Monday as the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran intensified, with Brent reaching a 52-week high of $78.41 and WTI above $72. Energy majors such as Exxon and Chevron rose in premarket trading, and Saudi Arabia reportedly has contingency plans to route oil through the Red Sea East-West pipeline.
Fears of disruption through Hormuz are lifting crude, and higher energy costs feed through to fertilizer, freight and processing costs for feed. Saudi bypass plans may limit the upside somewhat.
cnbc.comHugh LeaskMar 2, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
