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U.S. crude rose about 10% over the week, its strongest weekly gain in a long period, as tensions between the United States and Iran escalated. The rally was also supported by an upcoming OPEC meeting and a possible easing of U.S.-China trade tensions.
Fears of a military clash threaten flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a large share of world oil, so risk premiums lift crude and energy-linked feed costs. Higher energy prices also raise transport and processing costs for feed.
reuters.comScott DiSavinoJun 21, 2019After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
