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Oil futures rallied this year to $73 a barrel on Friday, their highest since July, amid growing concern over potential attacks. Analysts said prices could spike to $100 a barrel if the conflict with Iran escalated.
Futures trading was closed over the weekend.
Heightened threat of supply disruption from the Middle East raises crude costs, which feed into diesel and fuel expenses for feed mills and transport and can lift energy-linked grain and oilseed prices.
reuters.comSeher Dareen, Dmitry ZhdannikovMar 1, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Pre-move context: oil rallied into the weekend with analysts warning of a spike if the conflict escalated, which then materialized on the Monday open.
