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Oil prices jumped about 7% on Monday as Iran and Israel stepped up attacks, damaging at least three tankers off the Gulf coast and killing one seafarer. Iran said it had closed navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Asian buyers to assess their stockpiles.
Closure of Hormuz navigation removes a major share of seaborne crude supply, lifting crude prices and freight and fuel costs that flow through to feed production and delivery.
cnbc.comReutersMar 2, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Oil rose ~7% on March 2 as tankers were damaged and Iran declared Hormuz closed, a direct supply-risk driver.
