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Oil contract settled up $3.66, or 4.7%, at $81.40 a barrel, its highest settlement since January 2025. European gas prices soared as much as 40% before paring gains, following a 40% surge on Monday.
Sugar, fertilizer and soy prices have also risen.
The Iran crisis is lifting energy and fertilizer costs, which raises feed production expenses and can support soy complex prices through biofuel demand. Higher energy costs also feed through to input and freight prices for feed buyers.
reuters.comYousef Saba, Ahmed ElimamMar 3, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Surging oil and European gas prices raise nitrogen production costs and reinforce fertilizer price gains.
