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On June 13 the ICE August Brent contract jumped $5.93 to $75.29 a barrel in European morning trade, and NYMEX July crude rose $5.91 to $74.05. Israel struck Iranian nuclear facilities and military sites overnight, while US-Iran nuclear talks showed little progress.
The US denied involvement in the strikes.
The strikes on nuclear and military sites raise the risk of wider regional conflict and supply disruption, which pushes crude higher. Higher energy prices increase costs for feed production and transport.
spglobal.comDavid NeefJun 13, 2025After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Intraday S&P Global report shows Brent jumping about $6 in European morning trade on the strikes, confirming the timing and mechanism.
ICE Brent rose $5.93 in morning trade on the strikes and stalled US-Iran talks, showing the supply-risk premium building.
NYMEX July crude rose $5.91 on the Israeli strikes and stalled US-Iran talks, adding to the geopolitical premium.
NYMEX crude jumped about $5.91 on June 13 as Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites and US-Iran talks stalled.
ICE Brent rose about $5.93 on June 13 on the Israeli strikes and stalled US-Iran talks, which confirms the main price jump.
