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Oil prices jumped more than $3 a barrel as Middle East conflict raised supply fears after Iran's missile attack on Israel. US diesel prices hit a record, and crude was heading for an 8% weekly gain despite a late-session dip.
Fears of lost Iranian supply and possible disruption to Gulf flows lift crude and diesel costs for feed producers, raising freight, drying and processing expenses.
reuters.comGeorgina MccartneyOct 3, 2024After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Iran's missile attack on Israel raised Middle East supply fears and sent crude up over $3 a barrel, which directly lifted ULSD futures through sentiment and a supply risk premium on the same day.
Oil jumped over $3/bbl on Oct 3 on supply fears after Iran's missile attack on Israel, a major driver of the weekly gain.
