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The euro and yen fell on Monday as higher oil prices weighed on currencies of countries most exposed to energy shortages. The dollar gained from a safe-haven bid tied to conflict in the Middle East.
Energy importers' currencies weaken when oil rises, which raises import costs for feed-importing economies and can shift feed purchasing power. A firmer dollar also makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for buyers outside the US.
reuters.comKaren BrettellMar 1, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro fell as higher oil prices from Middle East escalation hit energy-importing currencies while the dollar gained safe-haven demand, directly matching the 1-day move.
The euro and yen fell against the dollar on higher oil prices and a safe-haven bid, which are major components of the broad dollar index move.
