
The euro was on track for its biggest weekly fall against the dollar in two months as concerns grew that a new French government would worsen the country's fiscal position ahead of a snap parliamentary election. French bond spreads widened sharply and bank stocks fell.
The yen hit a six-week low against the dollar after a dovish Bank of Japan policy update.
Fiscal and political risk in France widened euro-zone spreads and weakened the euro, which tends to strengthen the dollar and lower dollar-priced feed commodities. The dovish BOJ stance also pushed the yen lower, adding to dollar strength.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.