
The Canadian dollar eased from a four-month high ahead of Canada's CPI release, while oil settled 1.5% higher at $72.47 a barrel after Houthi attacks disrupted Red Sea shipping. Markets awaited inflation data expected to show a slowdown to 2.9%.
Red Sea disruption raises shipping and energy costs, supporting oil and freight prices that feed into feed ingredient landed costs.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.