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Market liquidity weakened during the week and deteriorated overnight amid Russia-Ukraine turmoil. The dollar index rose nearly 1%, mainly at the expense of the euro, which fell about 3% that week.
The decline was attributed to Europe's exposure to the Russian economy.
Market stress and a stronger dollar create currency-driven swings in dollar-priced feed commodities, with the effect on import costs for European buyers depending on how long the strain lasts.
reuters.comDhara RanasingheMar 5, 2022After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro fell about 3% that week as dollar demand rose and Europe's exposure to Russia was priced in, matching the size of the move.
Weekly dollar gain of nearly 1% against a euro down about 3% on Europe's exposure to Russia, and weakened market liquidity, reflects the stress-driven dollar bid.
