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The U.S. dollar rose on March 7, 2022, supported by safe-haven flows as Brent crude traded above $122 after reaching $139.13, its highest since July 2008. Oil spiked as the U.S. and European allies considered banning Russian crude imports, while the euro fell below $1.09.
Surging crude raises diesel, freight and fertilizer costs across the feed chain, supporting grain and oilseed prices through energy linkages. The stronger dollar and weaker euro offset some of that pressure for importers.
financialnewsletter.comReutersMar 7, 2022After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar rose on March 7 on safe-haven flows as Brent spiked above $120, with the euro below $1.09, supporting the end-of-window move.
Brent hit $139.13 on March 7 as the US and allies weighed banning Russian crude, confirming the peak of the move.
