US pump prices surge as Iran war upends global energy supply

After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Mar 9, 2026Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters+10.4%
• Mar 19, 2026Prices for oil, fuel cargoes smash record highs as Iran war chokes Middle East supply | Reuters-6.3%
• Mar 6, 2026Iran war sends US crude futures up 12% a barrel | Reuters+10.8%
• Mar 17, 2026US average diesel prices cross $5 a gallon as Middle East War tests global economy | Reuters+6.6%
• Aug 31, 2026Oil prices jump 4% as fresh US-Iran fighting stokes supply fears+4.4%

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Mar 1, 2026Oil and gas prices surge as Iran war disrupts Middle Eastern output | Reuters+35.6%
• Mar 9, 2026Instant View: Oil surges 20% as Iran war fuels supply fears | Reuters+8.5%
• May 17, 2026Oil prices rise 3% to two-week high on Iran war supply concerns | Reuters-8.1%
• Mar 19, 2026Prices for oil, fuel cargoes smash record highs as Iran war chokes Middle East supply | Reuters-5.3%
• Mar 6, 2026Iran war sends US crude futures up 12% a barrel | Reuters+18.2%