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The U.S. dollar moved to its highest level since May 2020 on March 4, 2022, as investors sought safety amid Eastern European tensions. February nonfarm payrolls rose 678,000 against 390,000 expected, while the euro fell below $1.10 and was down more than 2.5% on the week.
Flight-to-quality demand and a strong jobs report reinforce dollar strength, which can pressure dollar-priced grain and meal exports. Rising Fed hike expectations also raise the cost of carrying feed inventories.
admis.comAlan BushMar 4, 2022After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Flight to quality and strong February payrolls (678k vs 390k expected) lifted the dollar to its highest since May 2020 on March 4.
