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The euro has weakened this year largely due to fears that the 19 euro zone countries will enter recession. The Ukraine war has amplified oil and gas prices and hurt European consumers and businesses.
Persistent euro weakness and energy price pressure raise input costs and dampen European feed demand, supporting a stronger dollar relative to euro-based purchasing power.
apnews.comPaul WisemanJul 7, 2022After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
