
The euro fell to a two-decade low of $0.9810 after Putin ordered partial mobilization in Ukraine and the Federal Reserve signalled further hikes. Sterling and several Asian currencies also hit multi-year lows as inflation approached 10% across developed economies.
Currency weakness across Europe and Asia raises import costs for feed and grain buyers and can shift trade flows. Ongoing war-related energy and food price pressures keep the risk of sharp currency moves elevated.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.