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The dollar jumped in thin trading after US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad failed to produce a deal. President Trump said the US Navy would begin blockading the Strait of Hormuz, a route Iran had effectively closed since late February.
A US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz threatens oil supply for a route carrying about 20% of world energy, pushing energy and input costs higher for feed producers.
cnbc.comReutersApr 9, 2026After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
