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The rand slipped on April 23 as stalled US-Iran peace talks and a standoff over Hormuz lifted oil back above $100 a barrel. Iran seized two ships in the strait, and the US maintained a naval blockade of Iranian trade.
Oil above $100 and a weaker rand raise South Africa's import and freight costs for feed. The Hormuz standoff also reinforces risk to fertilizer and energy supply chains.
reuters.comApr 23, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
