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The rand fell to a one-month low on Monday after US military action against Iran over the weekend. Oil prices were volatile and investors feared Iranian retaliation could close the Strait of Hormuz.
Risk-off sentiment and higher crude prices weaken the rand and raise South African freight and energy costs, which feed through to feed ingredient prices.
tradingview.comJun 23, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
