Australian Dollar opens lower as Iran warns against US ground military action

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Feb 24, 2022Ringgit weakens against US dollar at close | Malay Mail+1.0%
• Mar 2, 2026Dollar Gains as Iran Conflict Spreads. Why the Greenback Is a Haven Again. - Barron's+1.4%
• Mar 25, 2026Dollar rises as US-Iran divide dashes de-escalation hopes | Reuters+0.8%
• Feb 28, 2022Australian Dollar down on Russia sanctions, ignores retail sales data. RBA eyed ahead | IG AU+1.2%
• Jan 24, 2022Ukraine tensions lift dollar, send euro lower+1.2%

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Apr 9, 2026Dollar struggles to rebound as fragile US-Iran ceasefire keeps markets wary | Reuters-2.9%
• Mar 9, 2018Opec lowers second-quarter global oil demand forecast on Iran war+1.0%
• Mar 25, 2026Dollar rises as US-Iran divide dashes de-escalation hopes | Reuters+15.0%
• Mar 30, 2026Canadian dollar hits nearly four-month low as war raises growth concerns | MarketScreener Canada+1.2%
• Mar 24, 2026Oil price rises, Australian dollar falls as Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shut - ABC News+15.1%