
OPEC+ agreed to keep its planned monthly output increase of 400,000 barrels per day despite surging oil prices and calls from the US and India to pump more. The group is struggling to meet existing targets and blamed high prices on under-investment in fossil fuels.
Russia-US tensions over Ukraine were also cited as pushing prices higher.
Geopolitical tension combined with constrained OPEC+ supply keeps crude prices elevated, raising energy and transport costs that flow into feed production. Continued pressure on oil supply could lift costs further if tensions escalate.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.