
Oil prices steadied on May 5, with Brent settling at $110.90 and WTI at $108.26 per barrel. The EU proposed sanctions on Russia including a crude embargo and a ban on shipping and insurance for Russian oil, while a strong dollar, at its highest since 2002, weighed on prices.
The EU embargo proposal could tighten crude supply in the summer, supporting prices, while a stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities costlier for non-US buyers.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.