
OPEC has kept its production plan in place despite pressure from Donald Trump. The group continues to hold back 5.86 million barrels per day through cuts announced in 2022, including voluntary cuts by eight members.
Sustained OPEC+ output restraint keeps crude oil prices supported, which raises energy and diesel costs for feed milling and transport.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.