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The dollar rose to a two-week high against a basket of currencies as Russia-West tensions over Ukraine lifted safe-haven demand. The euro fell to $1.1298 and the yen was little changed at 113.56 per dollar, while markets priced in a Federal Reserve tightening bias.
Geopolitical risk over potential Russian energy supply disruptions to Europe could raise energy prices and affect Black Sea grain flows. A stronger dollar also tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices.
financialpost.comReutersJan 24, 2022After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 36 past bearish geopolitics events, EURUSD moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -1.8% to -0.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
