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ICE Brent futures fell to $26.75 a barrel, the lowest front-month level since 2003, after Saudi Arabia instructed Aramco to keep supplying 12.3 million barrels per day. The move came amid a price war with Russia and the coronavirus pandemic.
Saudi supply expansion adds surplus crude during weak demand, keeping pressure on energy prices and reducing costs for energy-linked feed inputs.
spglobal.comJames Goldburn, Katie McQueMar 18, 2020After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent hit a 16-year low on March 18 after Saudi Arabia told Aramco to keep supplying 12.3 mb/d amid the price war, a supply-side driver.
Brent hit $26.75 on Mar 18 after Saudi Arabia ordered Aramco to supply 12.3 mb/d, a supply-flood signal amid the price war and pandemic.
Saudi Arabia's decision to keep supplying 12.3 million bpd amid the Russia price war pushed Brent to a 16-year low, adding supply pressure.
