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USDA's December WASDE kept 2016-17 U.S. corn and soybean supply and use unchanged, with soybean ending stocks at 480 million bushels, the highest since 2006-07. The season-average soybean price was raised 25 cents on both ends to $8.70 to $10.20 per bushel, and soybean oil was raised 2 cents to 34.5 to 37.5 cents per pound.
Higher soybean and soyoil price forecasts support oilseed values, but record-high stocks and expected South American competition in 2017 cap the upside for soybeans and soybean meal.
agnetwest.comDanDec 12, 2016After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
