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The November WASDE cut the US soybean yield by 0.3 bpa to 51.2 and trimmed the export outlook, which raised ending stocks. USDA also cut Argentina's soybean forecast and lowered Chinese imports by one million tonnes, while raising wheat export forecasts for Russia, Ukraine, the EU and India.
Lower US soybean exports and Chinese imports offset part of the yield cut, while higher wheat exports from Black Sea and EU suppliers add competition for feed wheat.
feedandgrain.comKevin McNewNov 10, 2021After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
