
USDA's June WASDE made few major changes, with U.S. wheat production at 1.665 billion bushels and ending stocks at 562 million, slightly below trade expectations. Corn 2023/24 ending stocks rose to 2.257 billion bushels, near the trade guess.
Soybean ending stocks matched expectations at 350 million bushels, with South American estimates also reviewed.
With most figures in line with expectations, there is little new price driver for corn, soybeans or wheat. Markets are likely to focus on the June 30 acreage report.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.