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USDA's June 9 WASDE showed U.S. corn and soybean 2022/23 and 2023/24 ending stocks above last month, and wheat 2023/24 stocks at 562 million bushels, slightly below the trade's expectation. Global soybean and wheat stocks for 2023/24 were also revised higher versus May.
The report compares each figure with Reuters-polled market expectations.
Corn and soybean stock increases above expectations point to looser supplies and softer prices, while the small wheat miss adds little support. Overall the surprises are modest.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinJun 11, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
