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USDA's May 12 WASDE included first 2023-24 crop forecasts, with corn yield at 181.5 bushels per acre and production at 15.265 billion bushels. Soybean production was forecast at 4.51 billion bushels, and wheat ending stocks at 556 million bushels.
Several figures came in above Reuters-polled market expectations.
Corn and soybean carryout figures above trade expectations signal ample supply and bearish price pressure, while the tight wheat carryout provides some support.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinMay 14, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
