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USDA revised the 2022 U.S. wheat crop down 133 million bushels to 1,650 million, with hard red winter at 531 million. Its June 1 grain stocks report showed corn at 1,377 million bushels, 135 million below market forecasts, and soybeans at 274 million, 32 million above expectations.
A smaller wheat crop and lower-than-expected corn stocks support wheat and corn prices, while larger soybean stocks add bearish pressure to soybeans and soymeal.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinSep 30, 2022After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
