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USDA's October 12 WASDE put 2022 soybean production at 4,313 million bushels, 68 million below market expectations, and corn production at 13,895 million bushels, slightly above. Ending stocks were 200 million bushels for soybeans and 1,172 million for corn, with all-wheat stocks at 576 million.
The report sent soybean prices higher and depressed wheat futures.
A soybean production shortfall versus expectations tightens supplies for crushers and feed users, supporting soybean meal costs. Wheat's larger-than-expected stocks reduce its price support.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinOct 12, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
