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USDA's March WASDE left U.S. corn, wheat and soybean estimates unchanged, and global revisions were small, including a 420,000-tonne rise in world corn production. Markets focused more on hopes of government economic stimulus for coronavirus and on the oil price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.
The report had a negligible effect on prices.
Macro and energy headlines are dominating grain prices, and crude weakness can pressure corn and soy via biofuel economics.
grainews.caGFM Network NewsMar 11, 2020After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
