
Corn, soybean and wheat futures fell further after the July 12 USDA reports, which were mostly neutral for soybeans and wheat and slightly bearish for corn. Crude oil dropped nearly $9, and recession talk and rising COVID cases in China added to demand concerns.
Macro-driven selling outweighed the USDA data, so lower energy prices and weaker demand expectations are pushing feed grain and soymeal values down.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn extended losses after the USDA report, with crude down nearly $9 and recession and demand concerns adding pressure.