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A comparison of monthly oil reports from the IEA and OPEC shows OPEC output rose in July after voluntary cuts ended. Jet fuel demand is expected to fall 39% this year, and OECD inventories remain well above the five-year average.
Weak jet demand and high inventories are bearish for crude, offsetting some of the support from OPEC+ restraint.
ief.orgAug 19, 2020After 129 past bearish report events, BRENT moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, WTI moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 86 past bearish report events, DIESEL moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
