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The IEA's April 2020 Oil Market Report forecast a record 9.3 mb/d fall in global oil demand for 2020. It also projected a record 12 mb/d supply drop in May after OPEC+ agreed historic output cuts.
A record demand contraction outweighs the planned supply cuts, implying a large inventory build and continued downward pressure on crude prices. Weaker energy prices lower costs for biofuels and related feed inputs.
iea.orgApr 15, 2020After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
