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The USDA's August WASDE report raised corn and soybean production estimates well above analyst expectations, with corn yield at 178.4 bpa and soybean yield at 51.6 bpa. Ending stocks for both crops also came in higher than expected.
Soybeans fell about 43 cents to $8.60 3/4 a bushel on the CBOT and soymeal dropped $12.
Larger-than-expected US corn and soybean supplies and carryout weigh on feed grain and soymeal prices, lowering input costs for feed buyers in the near term.
agriculture.comTony DreibusAug 10, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports that soybeans fell about 43 cents to $8.60 3/4 after USDA's higher production and stocks forecasts directly describe the move.
Reports the soybean and soymeal plunge (meal down $12) after USDA's August WASDE raised soybean and corn production and ending stocks well above expectations, which is the direct driver of the drop.
