
Soybean and corn futures fell sharply after USDA's November Crop Production report lowered corn yield to 186 bpa and soybean yield to 53 bpa, both less than analysts expected. Soybeans had rallied to 17-month highs on a U.S.-China trade truce and yield hopes before the drop.
A less-bullish-than-expected USDA yield cut removes supply support, and the sell-off reflects profit-taking after a rally, pressuring feed grain and soymeal prices.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.