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Corn and soybean markets were highly volatile on the USDA Prospective Plantings report, with December corn closing at contract highs of $6.83 3/4 and soybean futures closing 46 to 49 cents lower. Planted acreage intentions for corn came in at 89.49 million acres, 2.5 million below trade estimates.
Wheat futures were also volatile.
The corn acreage shortfall tightens the feed grain outlook, while the shift toward soybeans weighs on soybean and meal values. Fertilizer costs are a key factor behind the acreage change.
agriculture.comAl KluisMar 31, 2022After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
