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The January 12, 2024 WASDE brought bearish surprises for corn and soybeans, with yields above the highest trade expectations and unexpected cuts to harvested acres. March corn fell from $4.55 to $4.4125 per bushel intraday before recovering to $4.48, with soybeans also sharply lower.
Yields above expectations and higher ending stocks shift the market toward demand, keeping feed grain and meal prices under pressure.
iowafarmbureau.comJan 15, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
