
DTN analyst Todd Hultman described the November WASDE as bearish for corn because ending stocks came in above expectations, and neutral for soybeans. Corn yield was cut from 168.4 to 167 bushels per acre, close to trade expectations.
Attention is now on the January report.
Ending stocks above expectations keep corn prices under pressure despite the yield cut, and the soybean balance is steady. The January update is the next major driver.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.