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USDA's Prospective Plantings report projected a record 89.5 million acres of U.S. soybeans for 2017, above most trade estimates. The March 1 soybean stocks of 1.735 billion bushels also topped expectations, and soybean futures fell while corn and wheat rose on reduced acreage forecasts.
A larger-than-expected soybean area and heavy stocks point to ample supply, pressuring soybean meal and soy complex prices, while lower corn and wheat acreage supports those grains.
farmprogress.comMar 31, 2017After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
