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Soybean futures fell on March 31 after USDA's Prospective Plantings report showed 83.495 million acres intended for soybeans, a 3.555 million acre drop from last year and within trade expectations. March 1 stocks were slightly above estimates, and weekly export inspections showed China as the top destination despite tariffs.
A smaller US soybean acreage is bearish for new-crop supply expectations, but the market sold off as a sell-the-fact reaction, leaving prices pressured.
barchart.comAustin SchroederMar 31, 2025After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
