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USDA's July WASDE raised new-crop U.S. corn production to 14.2 billion bushels and soybean production to 4.3 billion bushels. It cut soybean exports by 250 million bushels to reflect new Chinese import duties, lifting domestic soybean ending stocks to 580 million bushels from 385 million in June.
Lower soybean export demand and a larger carryout point to weaker soybean prices, while the tighter corn stocks outlook supports corn values.
dtnpf.comEmily UnglesbeeJul 12, 2018After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WASDE cut soybean exports by 250 million bushels for Chinese tariffs and raised production to 4.3 billion bushels, a bearish supply/demand shift.
