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The USDA's December report raised its 2023/24 global vegetable oil production forecast to about 223.6 million tonnes from 217.21 million tonnes the prior year. Rapeseed meal and soybean meal production estimates were also nudged higher, while cottonseed oil was trimmed slightly.
Higher global oilseed meal output is mildly bearish for meal prices, while the larger vegetable oil supply weighs on oil prices.
ukragroconsult.comDec 11, 2023After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
