
Oil World estimates global palm oil output will rise 7.1 million tonnes in 2017 to 66 million tonnes, with Indonesia at 35.6 million tonnes and Malaysia at 20 million tonnes. Global exports for January to September 2017 are seen exceeding expectations by 2.9 million tonnes.
A larger-than-expected production increase and strong exports point to ample palm oil supply, which is bearish for palm prices and supportive of demand for competing vegetable oils to a lesser degree.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.