
Indonesia's reference price for CPO for June 2025 fell 7.36% to $856.38 per tonne, driven by higher Malaysian output, lower projected Indian demand and a stronger dollar. Indonesia set a $52 per tonne export duty and a 10% levy for June.
Lower reference prices reduce Indonesian export duties and reflect weaker demand from India, which pressures palm oil prices amid rising Malaysian supply.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 53 past bullish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.